Tuesday, November 28, 2006

Global Warming in Mongolia

There is a lot of fear and fear-mongering about global warming. Scientists around the world are warning us about the dangers of global warming. Here in Mongolia we take a different view of global warming. If implications are understood correctly, Mongolia has little to fear and a lot to gain from global warming.

First, global warming will raise the temperature. So what's so bad about higher temperatures? For Mongolia, that's great! Yesterday's low was -20; and it's not even December yet. Even a temperature increase of a few degrees would be appreciated. Seriously though, consistently higher temperatures would mean a longer growing season in Mongolia.

Second, increased global temperatures would mean more evaporation from the ocean which would result in increased rainfall. Indeed global warming would melt the polar ice caps and increase the surface area of the oceans (more on how that benefits Mongolia later) and decrease the surface area of the world's landmass. More surface area from which to draw water and less area on which to rain it must result in more rainfall.

Third, a rise in the level of the oceans would mean less land area for the world's population. Any economist can tell you what happens when supply decreases and demand increases - prices rise. With the supply of available, arable land decreasing and the world's population increasing, the price of land must rise. Mongolia with its lowest point at 1700 feet above sea level stands to lose no territory. Furthermore, by lengthening the growing season global warming will increase the amount of arable land in Mongolia. Even better, everyone knows that oceanfront property is some of the most valuable on earth. Of course, Mongolia doesn't have any oceanfront property ... yet.

Fourth, the same scientists who warn us about global warming also believe in the neo-Darwinian idea of evolution of species by random mutation and natural selection. Many of these scientists also believe that in the past new species evolved as climate change brought pressures that favored the species with newly developed parts.

One good example of this is the very common evolutionary belief about anaerobic bacteria, oxygen, and the emergence of eukaryotic life. Evolutionists believe that anaerobic bacteria was the initial life form on earth. This was because the early earth lacked much oxygen in its atmosphere. (Why do evolutionists believe this? Because oxygen would have made it impossible for life to form according to their understanding of life and chemistry. But I digress.) But as the anaerobic bacteria proliferated some of them began to produce oxygen as a waste product. This oxygen killed off many types of anaerobic bacteria but caused aerobic bacteria (the kind that uses oxygen) to flourish. Since all other life forms evolved from aerobic bacteria, I would think that we should thank our lucky stars that anaerobic bacteria produced oxygen as a waste product. Otherwise, we'd all still be giant mats of bacteria instead of thronging masses of humans.

Imagine though the situation above as the situation today. Instead of anaerobic bacteria, we have humankind, rather than oxygen as a waste product think of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases, and rather than aerobic bacteria and every life form associated with it imagine ... well, now who knows what new life forms might evolve. We may be on the threshold of a new evolutionary future! So exactly why are neo-Darwinian scientists so bothered by global warming? Why not welcome it with open arms as an opportunity to spur new evolutionary development. After all, change is good.

So go ahead and fire up that two-stroke lawn mower. Take another Sunday drive with the kids (if you can afford it). There's no need to worry about global warming. At least , not from where I am in Mongolia.

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